Welcome to the "Original" Dynasty Rankings Fantasy Football Blog

This blog was born out of a Dynasty Rankings thread originally begun in October, 2006 at the Footballguys.com message boards. The rankings in that thread and the ensuing wall-to-wall discussion of player values and dynasty league strategy took on a life of its own at over 275 pages and 700,000 page views. The result is what you see in the sidebar under "Updated Positional Rankings": a comprehensive ranking of dynasty league fantasy football players by position on a tiered, weighted scale. In the tradition of the original footballguys.com Dynasty Rankings thread, intelligent debate is welcome and encouraged.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Wide Receiver Rankings | November 19, 2008

WIDE RECEIVERS

TIER ONE

1. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI | Age: 25.0 | Value Score: 99

2. Andre Johnson, HOU | Age: 27.2 | Value Score: 98

3. Calvin Johnson, DET | Age: 23.0 | Value Score: 98

4. Steve Smith, CAR | Age: 29.3 | Value Score: 95

5. Reggie Wayne
, IND | Age: 29.8 | Value Score: 95

6. Brandon Marshall, DEN | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 94

7. Anquan Boldin, ARI | Age: 27.9 | Value Score: 94

8. Greg Jennings, GB | Age: 25.0 | Value Score: 93
Leading the NFL in several receiving categories, Jennings is a true No. 1.

TIER TWO

9. Randy Moss, NE | Age: 31.6 | Value Score: 88

10. Roddy White, ATL | Age: 26.8 | Value Score: 87
Offseason concerns about the deleterious effects of a rookie quarterback were overblown. I'm guilty as charged.

11. Marques Colston, NO | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 86
When can we start asking if Colston is injury-prone? He certainly doesn't leave me with a warm and safe feeling.

12. Dwayne Bowe, KC | Age: 24.0 | Value Score: 86

13. Braylon Edwards, CLE | Age: 25.5 | Value Score: 83
Flashed that big play ability against the Giants. Personally, I'd sell now for a more reliable stud if possible.

14. Terrell Owens, DAL | Age: 34.8 | Value Score: 82

TIER THREE

15. Lee Evans, BUF | Age: 27.5 | Value Score: 75
Trent Edwards is killing him.

16. Eddie Royal, DEN | Age: 22.3 | Value Score: 75

17. Roy Williams, DAL | Age: 26.7 | Value Score: 74

18. Santana Moss, WAS | Age: 29.3 | Value Score: 73
He'll bounce back, but would-be WR1s don't pull a disappearing act for two straight games.

19. Santonio Holmes, PIT | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 72

20. Hines Ward, PIT | Age: 32.5 | Value Score: 71

21. Wes Welker, NE | Age: 27.3 | Value Score: 70
Still valuable in PPR leagues, but he can't get in the end zone with Cassel under center.

22. DeSean Jackson, PHI | Age: 21.8 | Value Score: 69

23. Jerricho Cotchery, NYJ | Age: 26.3 | Value Score: 69

24. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, CIN | Age: 30.9 | Value Score: 68
A lost season for the Bengals. Might be time to hope he leaves Cincy after the 2008 season.

25. Vincent Jackson, SD | Age: 25.7 | Value Score: 67
Much more valuable in Dynasty than redraft, V-Jax just keeps improving every year. The sky is the limit with an improved QB getting him more and more involved in the offense.

26. Anthony Gonzalez, IND | Age: 24.0 | Value Score: 67

27. #Plaxico Burress, NYG | Age: 31.1 | Value Score: 66
The return of the "High Knucklehead Factor." Plax is simply not reliable.

28. Chad Ocho Cinco, CIN | Age: 30.6 | Value Score: 66
He's passed the buy-low window and entered legitimate concern territory. He and Palmer haven't been on the same page, and the Bengals franchise is going down the toilet again.

TIER FOUR

29. Bernard Berrian, MIN | Age: 27.7 | Value Score: 58
Three straight games with a TD and hasn't been held under 75 yards since Gus Frerotte took over the passing offense.

30. Ted Ginn Jr., MIA | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 55

31. Lance Moore, NO | Age: 25.1 | Value Score: 54
The gravy train is over with Moore moving to the slot upon Marques Colston's return.

32. Marvin Harrison, IND | Age: 36.0 | Value Score: 53

33. Laveranues Coles, NYJ | Age: 30.7 | Value Score: 53
Should remain heavily targeted as long as Brett Favre is around.

34. Matt Jones, JAX | Age: 25.4 | Value Score: 49
Not only has he emerged as David Garrard's go-to guy in the Jags offense, he's played so well that they can't afford to take him out of the lineup.

35. #Josh Morgan, SF | Age: 23.2 | Value Score: 47
Finally back in the starting lineup after a dominant preseason, the rookie is the 49ers' best playmaker at WR.

36. Kevin Curtis, PHI | Age: 30.2 | Value Score: 46

37. Donnie Avery, STL | Age: 22.6 | Value Score: 44
Mr. October.

38. Chris Chambers, SD | Age: 30.1 | Value Score: 43

39. Sidney Rice, MIN | Age: 22.0 | Value Score: 42

40. Torry Holt, STL | Age: 32.3 | Value Score: 41
Being outshined by rookie Donnie Avery.

41. Antonio Bryant, TB | Age: 27.5 | Value Score: 40
Coach Gruden informed Joey Galloway that Bryant is keeping the fantasy friendly starting split end job.

42. Devin Thomas, WAS | Age: 21.8 | Value Score: 39

43. Domenik Hixon, NYG | Age: 23.9 | Value Score: 37
Built on an impressive preseason with a breakout game starting in Plax's place.

43. Donald Driver, GB | Age: 33.6 | Value Score: 35
It doesn't pay to be Favre's go-to guy when Favre is no longer around; heading into his mid-thirties, Driver may be entering his last startable season.

45. Derrick Mason, BAL | Age: 34.6 | Value Score: 34

46. Mike Walker, JAX | Age: 23.8 | Value Score: 33
The reported sprained MCL is a bit of a hangover from Walker's coming out party on national television Sunday night. You may have to wait a few weeks, but Walker has turned the corner and earned his quarterback's trust.

TIER FIVE

47. Steve Breaston, ARI | Age: 25.0 | Value Score: 24
Worst case scenario: he stays involved as the No. 3 receiver for the next two years. Best case scenario: he steps in for Anquan Boldin in the near future as the wide receiver feasting off of Fitz's production.

48. Mark Bradley, KC | Age: 26.7 | Value Score: 23

49. Kevin Walter, HOU | Age: 27.1 | Value Score: 22
Sketchy long-term value, but he could be a borderline WR3 the rest of this season.

50. Jordy Nelson, GB | Age: 23.3 | Value Score: 22

51. James Jones, GB | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 21

43. James Hardy, BUF | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 21

52. Limas Sweed, PIT | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 21

55. Jason Hill, SF | Age: 23.6 | Value Score: 19

56. Malcolm Kelly, WAS | Age: 21.7 | Value Score: 18

56. Justin Gage, TEN | Age: 27.6 | Value Score: 18

57. Reggie Brown, PHI | Age: 27.7 | Value Score: 17

58. Devin Hester, CHI | Age: 25.8 | Value Score: 17
The talent was always there, and now it appears that he's taken the step to legit wide receiver. He's gone from stash-and-hope to actual weekly production.

59. Chris Henry, CIN | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 16

60. [#]Nate Burleson, SEA | Age: 27.0 | Value Score: 16

61. Jacoby Jones, HOU | Age: 24.2 | Value Score: 15

62. Steve Smith, NYG | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 15

53. Deion Branch, SEA | Age: 29.2 | Value Score: 20
The most over-rated fantasy receiver of recent memory suffered yet another injury in his first game back. He can't stay healthy, doesn't get in the end zone, and has never broken 1,000 yards in a season.

54. Robert Meachem, NO | Age: 24.0 | Value Score: 20

63. Laurent Robinson, ATL | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 14

64. Mark Clayton, BAL | Age: 26.2 | Value Score: 14
It's time to call a flop a flop. Clayton is a wide receiver that never gets in the end zone and averages less than 10 yards per catch. It's time to turn the page.

65. Bobby Engram, SEA | Age: 35.7 | Value Score: 13
With the clock ticking on his career, Engram must be an advantage in 2008 to have Dynasty value. It's not looking good.

66. Jerry Porter, JAX | Age: 30.2 | Value Score: 13
Raise your hand if you fell for the hype. Now slap yourself.

67. Donte' Stallworth, CLE | Age: 27.8 | Value Score: 12

70. Brandon Jones, TEN | Age: 29.4 | Value Score: 10

TIER SIX

71. [#]Greg Camarillo, MIA | Age: 26.4 | Value Score: 8

72. Joey Galloway, TB | Age: 36.8 | Value Score: 7
Similar to Engram, Galloway must be a startable asset to maintain Dynasty value. Losing his position to Antonio Bryant isn't going to help.

73. [#]Javon Walker, OAK | Age: 29.9 | Value Score: 7
Swampland in Florida.

74. Early Doucet, ARI | Age: 22.8 | Value Score: 7

75. Harry Douglas, ATL | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 7

76. Malcom Floyd, SD | Age: 27.0 | Value Score: 7

77. Isaac Bruce, SF | Age: 35.8 | Value Score: 7

78. Chaz Schilens, OAK | Age: 22.8 | Value Score: 6

79. Brandon Stokley, DEN | Age: 32.2 | Value Score: 5

80. Devery Henderson, NO | Age: 26.5 | Value Score: 5

81. Muhsin Muhammad, CAR | Age: 35.4 | Value Score: 5

82. Michael Jenkins, ATL | Age: 26.2 | Value Score: 4

83. Jerome Simpson, CIN | Age: 22.6 | Value Score: 4

84. Mario Manningham, NYG | Age: 22.3 | Value Score: 4

85. Hank Baskett, PHI | Age: 26.0 | Value Score: 4

86. D.J. Hackett, CAR | Age: 27.1 | Value Score: 4
Long a stat-head darling, but there was a reason Hackett drew so little interest on the free agent market this past offseason: he can't stay healthy. Local beats believe Dwayne Jarrett will take his job soon.

87. Reggie Williams, JAX | Age: 25.4 | Value Score: 4

88. Ronald Curry, OAK | Age: 29.4 | Value Score: 4

89. Brandon Lloyd, CHI | Age: 27.2 | Value Score: 4

TIER SEVEN

90. Dwayne Jarrett, CAR | Age: 22.0 | Value Score: 3

91. Antwaan Randle El, WAS | Age: 29.1 | Value Score: 3

92. #Craig Davis, SD | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 3

93. Bryant Johnson, SF | Age: 27.5 | Value Score: 3
Remaindered by the rookie.

94. Lavelle Hawkins, TEN | Age: 22.2 | Value Score: 3

95. #Isaiah Stanback, DAL | Age: 24.1 | Value Score: 3

96. Darrell Jackson, DEN | Age: 29.7 | Value Score: 3

97. Amani Toomer, NYG | Age: 34.0 | Value Score: 3

98. #Andre Caldwell, CIN | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 3

99. Arnaz Battle, SF | Age: 28.6 | Value Score: 3

100. Earl Bennett, CHI | Age: 21.5 | Value Score: 3

101. Keenan Burton, STL | Age: 23.9 | Value Score: 3

102. Shaun McDonald, DET | Age: 27.3 | Value Score: 2

103. Mike Furrey, DET | Age: 31.4 | Value Score: 2

104. Steve Johnson, BUF | Age: 22.2 | Value Score: 2

105. [#]Drew Bennett, STL | Age: 30.0 | Value Score: 2

106. #Miles Austin, DAL | Age: 24.2 | Value Score: 2

107. [#]Demetrius Williams, BAL | Age: 25.5 | Value Score: 2

108. Patrick Crayton, DAL | Age: 29.4 | Value Score: 2

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

What does Moore have to do to enter your good graces?

I have Colston and Moore in an 8-keeper/2 QB league and I'm worried that I won't be able to figure out which is worth keeping. It is pretty clear to me that Colston is a product of having Brees at QB and Moore has continued his productivity since Colston returned.

Chris Wesseling said...

Catching up on my emails. . . .

Moore is in my good graces, but Colston is the no-brainer keeper b/w the two Saints WRs.

History and talent almost always outweigh recent trends for Dyansty leaguers.