Welcome to the "Original" Dynasty Rankings Fantasy Football Blog

This blog was born out of a Dynasty Rankings thread originally begun in October, 2006 at the Footballguys.com message boards. The rankings in that thread and the ensuing wall-to-wall discussion of player values and dynasty league strategy took on a life of its own at over 275 pages and 700,000 page views. The result is what you see in the sidebar under "Updated Positional Rankings": a comprehensive ranking of dynasty league fantasy football players by position on a tiered, weighted scale. In the tradition of the original footballguys.com Dynasty Rankings thread, intelligent debate is welcome and encouraged.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Running Back Rankings | November 19, 2008

RUNNING BACKS

TIER ONE

1. Adrian Peterson, MIN | Age: 23.5 | Value Score: 100
Simply the most talented player on the field [click here].

TIER TWO

2. Frank Gore, SF | Age: 25.2 | Value Score: 94

3. #Steven Jackson, STL | Age: 25.1 | Value Score: 93
As Ronnie Brown proved in the first half of 2007, elite running back talents can succeed on poor teams.

4. Chris Johnson, TEN | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 91
Kudos if you got onboard The Hype Train for this special playmaker back in August. The league's top rookie RB is as important to the Titans offense as Brian Westbrook is to the Eagles.

5. #Brian Westbrook, PHI | Age: 29.0 | Value Score: 88

6. Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 87
On pace for his usual 12-15 touchdowns and 45-50 receptions despite splitting carries behind an O-Line in shambles.

7. Marion Barber III, DAL | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 86

TIER THREE

8. Matt Forte, CHI | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 79
Ranked No. 1 right now in many PPR leagues.

9. Marshawn Lynch, BUF | Age: 22.4 | Value Score: 78
Whether it's the result of subpar O-Line play or Fred Jackson's annoying presence, Lynch has been a major disappointment this season.

10. #Reggie Bush, NO | Age: 23.5 | Value Score: 77
Missing a stretch of games with a knee injury for the second year in a row.

11. LaDainian Tomlinson, SD | Age: 29.2 | Value Score: 77
Not done. As healthy as he's been since Week 1, and he has a great schedule the rest of the way.

12. Clinton Portis, WAS | Age: 27.0 | Value Score: 76
Portis presents quite the conundrum. At 117 rushing yards per game, contenders need to ride the hot hand this season. Builders, on the other hand, owe it to themselves to move a RB who will be 28-years-old, coming off a possible 370-carry season, and a career-long history of heavy workloads and violent collisions.

13. Ronnie Brown, MIA | Age: 26.7 | Value Score: 75
His Ricky Williams problem isn't going away until 2010.

14. Jonathan Stewart, CAR | Age: 21.5 | Value Score: 74
Still an elite talent, but it's becoming more obvious that owners will be waiting until 2010 for him to realize his full potential.

15. Joseph Addai, IND | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 73
Addai's stats in the 15 games since last November 11th: 650 rushing yards on 202 attempts for a 3.2 average. What we have here is far from a RB1, but loyal readers already knew that. Right?

16. Michael Turner, ATL | Age: 26.5 | Value Score: 72
Running backs who don't catch the ball have an awfully hard time producing consistently.

17. #Brandon Jacobs, NYG | Age: 26.2 | Value Score: 71
He deserves more MVP consideration than Eli.

TIER FOUR

18. DeAngelo Williams, CAR | Age: 25.4 | Value Score: 63
A change of pace back wouldn't have three 100 yard performances in the last five games. It's time to consider him a feature back.

19. #Darren McFadden, OAK | Age: 21.0 | Value Score: 62
He's gone from obvious buy-low to major doubts about whether he can stay healthy at the NFL level.

20. Ray Rice, BAL | Age: 21.7 | Value Score: 60
Showing off a fine all-around game and giving his coach reason for pause in turning back to Willis McGahee. The future in Baltimore belongs to Rice, not McGahee.

21. Ryan Grant, GB | Age: 25.7 | Value Score: 57
Not only are the big plays gone, but more problematic is that he's slipped to the point where he doesn't even catch passes anymore. Steer clear of running backs with no role in the passing game.

22. Willie Parker, PIT | Age: 27.8 | Value Score: 55
This is why Parker has never had stability as a Dynasty asset: he's not a true workhorse. Every time the Steelers realize this, they start taking away responsibilities, first passing game work, then short-yardage work, and eventually the starting job.

23. Steve Slaton, HOU | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 53
I've remained skeptical all along that Slaton will ever be a RB that can sustain a rushing attack. Now he's in a virtual rotation with Ahman Green.

24. [#]Rashard Mendenhall, PIT | Age: 21.2 | Value Score: 52
Is it too early to wonder if he's a bust? He couldn't get on the field until Willie Parker's injury, and now he's roster fodder until 2009.

TIER FIVE

25. Willis McGahee, BAL | Age: 26.9 | Value Score: 42
Losing carries to Ray Rice and in line for a new address in 2009.

26. #Felix Jones, DAL | Age: 21.3 | Value Score: 40

27. Kevin Smith, DET | Age: 21.7 | Value Score: 39
Rod Marinelli runs his team like a high school football coach, which means it took the freshman nine games to "earn" the spot from the senior.

28. Thomas Jones, NYJ | Age: 30.0 | Value Score: 38

29. Larry Johnson, KC | Age: 28.8 | Value Score: 36
Turning into a fantasy football cancer. At this point, just hope he can return by the fantasy football playoffs and give you a decent performance or two.

30. Derrick Ward, NYG | Age: 28.1 | Value Score: 35
Could be starting in another city in 2009 if Giants feel comfortable with Bradshaw taking over his role.

31. Tim Hightower, ARI | Age: 22.3 | Value Score: 34
Who didn't see this one coming? Hightower is becoming the workhorse back in a high-flying offense. One could argue, though, that he is a prime sell-high right now.

32. Jamal Lewis, CLE | Age: 29.0 | Value Score: 33
Time to explore younger options.

TIER SIX

33. [#]Laurence Maroney, NE | Age: 23.5 | Value Score: 25
The shoulder injury closes the books on his 2008 season, and he heads into 2009 as an injury-prone committee back with no role in the passing game.

34. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG | Age: 22.5 | Value Score: 24

35. LenDale White, TEN | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 20
Chocoate chip pancakes.

36. Jamaal Charles, KC | Age: 21.7 | Value Score: 20

37. Cedric Benson, CIN | Age: 25.7 | Value Score: 18
Against my better judgment, I've been pimping the revitalized Benson for three weeks now. It finally paid off in the box score with a 100-yard performance against Jacksonville.

38. Jerious Norwood, ATL | Age: 25.1 | Value Score: 17

TIER SEVEN

39. Pierre Thomas, NO | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 11
Keep him stashed, but Deuce's return certainly diminishes his value.

40. #Sammy Morris, NE | Age: 31.5 | Value Score: 10
Most valuable 2008 asset in the Pats committee backfield?

41. [#]Earnest Graham, TB | Age: 28.7 | Value Score: 10

42. Darren Sproles, SD | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 9
Unrestricted free agent after 2008 season.

43. Fred Jackson, BUF | Age: 27.6 | Value Score: 9

44. Leon Washington, NYJ | Age: 26.0 | Value Score: 9
A homerun hitter, but just not physical enough to ever be more than a part-timer; his only hope for value is to catch enough passes to be useful in PPR leagues.

45. Kevin Jones, CHI | Age: 26.0 | Value Score: 8

46. [#]Ryan Torain, DEN | Age: 22.1 | Value Score: 8

47. Warrick Dunn, TB | Age: 33.7 | Value Score: 8

48. Chester Taylor, MIN | Age: 29.0 | Value Score: 7
As valuable of a pure backup as any RB in the league, Taylor is still most valuable to Adrian Peterson owners; won't be a free agent until after the '09 season when he'll be almost 31-years-old.

49. #Selvin Young, DEN | Age: 24.9 | Value Score: 7
He's clearly a committee back – the part of the committee that never gets in the end zone.


50. Brandon Jackson, GB | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 7

51. Mewelde Moore, PIT | Age: 26.1 | Value Score: 6
Never gets a starting gig, but in two separate trials he's shown that he can be a very productive NFL running back.

52. Julius Jones, SEA | Age: 27.0 | Value Score: 6
Already back to a committee attack, and now he's unleashing sideline rants against the Big Show.

53. Justin Fargas, OAK | Age: 28.6 | Value Score: 6
Stinks. Doesn't catch the ball, doesn't receive consistent carries, is in danger of losing his job, and is frequently injured. I've never understood the love here.

TIER EIGHT

54. Ladell Betts, WAS | Age: 29.0 | Value Score: 5

55. Ricky Williams
, MIA | Age: 31.3 | Value Score: 5

56. J.J. Arrington, ARI | Age: 25.7 | Value Score: 5

57. Michael Bush, OAK | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 5

58. Le'Ron McClain, BAL | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 5
Looking more and more like a novelty act as opposed to a running back with a bright future.

59. Jerome Harrison, CLE | Age: 25.5 | Value Score: 5

60. Dominic Rhodes, IND | Age: 29.6 | Value Score: 5
May work his way back into a timeshare with Addai.

61. #Cadillac Williams, TB | Age: 26.4 | Value Score: 5

62. Fred Taylor, JAX | Age: 32.6 | Value Score: 5
See Edge. The one-time "Fragile Freddie" is thru as a fantasy factor.


63. Tashard Choice, DAL | Age: 23.8 | Value Score: 4

64. Antonio Pittman, STL | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 4

65. Deuce McAllister, NO | Age: 29.7 | Value Score: 4

66. Maurice Morris, SEA | Age: 28.7 | Value Score: 4

67. #LaMont Jordan, NE | Age: 29.8 | Value Score: 4

68. Ahman Green, HOU | Age: 31.5 | Value Score: 4

69. Correll Buckhalter, PHI | Age: 29.9 | Value Score: 4

TIER NINE

70. Peyton Hillis, DEN | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 2

71. Tatum Bell, DEN | Age: 27.6 | Value Score: 2

72. P.J. Pope, DEN | Age: 24.6 | Value Score: 2

73. Edgerrin James, ARI | Age: 30.1 | Value Score: 2
I think he comes up just short of the NFL Hall of Fame, but Edge is a first ballot fantasy HOFer. So this is how it ends, not with a bang but with a whimper?

74. Jalen Parmele, MIA | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 2

75. Xavier Omon, BUF | Age: 23.6 | Value Score: 2

76. Benjarvus Green-Ellis, NE | Age: 23.2 | Value Score: 2

77. Kenny Watson, CIN | Age: 30.6 | Value Score: 2

78. Rudi Johnson, DET | Age: 28.9 | Value Score: 2
Kevin Smith is better. Rudi will be 30-years-old by this time next year, he's worthless in the passing game, and he'll never average close to 4.0 YPC again.

79. [#]Mike Hart, IND | Age: 22.4 | Value Score: 2

80. [#]Kregg Lumpkin, GB | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 2

81. Lorenzo Booker, PHI | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 2

82. Gary Russell, PIT | Age: 22.0 | Value Score: 2

83. Jacob Hester, SD | Age: 23.3 | Value Score: 2

84. Chris Perry, CIN | Age: 26.7 | Value Score: 2

TIER TEN

85. DeShawn Wynn, GB | Age: 24.9 | Value Score: 1

86. [#]Andre Hall, DEN | Age: 26.1 | Value Score: 1

87. [#]Michael Pittman, DEN | Age: 33.1 | Value Score: 1

88. [#]Kolby Smith, KC | Age: 23.8 | Value Score: 1

89. Najeh Daveport, UFA | Age: 29.6 | Value Score: 1

90. DeShaun Foster, SF | Age: 28.7 | Value Score: 1

91. Michael Bennett, SD | Age: 30.0 | Value Score: 1

92. Michael Robinson, SF | Age: 25.5 | Value Score: 1

93. Chauncy Washington, JAX | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 1

94. Justin Forsett, SEA | Age: 22.8 | Value Score: 1

95. Chad Simpson, IND | Age: 23.1 | Value Score: 1

96. [#]Chris Brown, HOU | Age: 27.4 | Value Score: 1

97. Shaun Alexander, WAS | Age: 31.0 | Value Score: 1

2 comments:

Jeff said...

Still no JJ Arrington, despite his recent surge in touches and effective performance?

Chris Wesseling said...

Good call. Sometimes forget to add guys. . .