Welcome to the "Original" Dynasty Rankings Fantasy Football Blog

This blog was born out of a Dynasty Rankings thread originally begun in October, 2006 at the Footballguys.com message boards. The rankings in that thread and the ensuing wall-to-wall discussion of player values and dynasty league strategy took on a life of its own at over 275 pages and 700,000 page views. The result is what you see in the sidebar under "Updated Positional Rankings": a comprehensive ranking of dynasty league fantasy football players by position on a tiered, weighted scale. In the tradition of the original footballguys.com Dynasty Rankings thread, intelligent debate is welcome and encouraged.

Monday, April 28, 2008

Draft Weekend Dynasty Tumblers


TOP 15 NFL DRAFT WEEKEND DYNASTY TUMBLERS

1. Willie Parker, RB, PIT - I had already soured on him when it became obvious mid-way through last season that the Steelers no longer considered him a workhorse running back of vintage Pittsburgh style. He had already lost third down and short yardage work, and now they go and draft one of the "Big 3" backs to take a major chunk out of his carries. By late Saturday afternoon, Parker went from my "stay far away" list to "basically unstartable". This year's Chester Taylor?

2. DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR - It appeared to be about 50/50 going into the weekend whether D-Willy would retain startable value for dynasty leaguers. If the Panthers bypassed a talented early round back, he had a window of opportunity to show his skill-set. As it stands now, Williams' career may come and go without ever having a chance to carry the load in a full-time capacity. With his short yardage bugaboos and trouble in pass protection, one wonders if Stewart's presence will remainder him to a more Leon Washington-like change of pace role.

3. Justin Fargas, RB, OAK - Fargas has been a sell high all off-season, but that was even before the Raiders grabbed McFadden. Turns out you should have sold for whatever scant value you could get your hands on. Fargas is likely to still have a role in the Raiders offfense, but the McFadden pick leaves him without a role on your dynasty roster.

4. Michael Bush, RB, OAK - His best hope before the draft was to knock Fargas out of the way this season and become the Raiders workhorse running back. His best hope now is to eventually end up as the thunder to McFadden's lightning, but how much is that worth in fantasy leagues?

5. LenDale White, RB, TEN - You could argue that Chris Johnson actually helps BakeSale by opening up the field and removing predictability from the Titans offense. I'm not buying it. The Titans are far from sold on White, and they realize he lacks explosiveness. He will continue to leak rushing attempt numbers, and Johnson could steal the lion's share of the backfield touches as soon as this season.

6. Cedric Benson, RB, CHI - By all rights he could be higher on this list if you believed he still had significant dynasty league value, but that "Benson Value" ship sailed for me early last season. Once you realized he had no future as a starting running back, Benson didn't have much at stake this weekend. Still, Forte will easily nudge him to the sidelines and eventually to the chopping block.

7. John Beck, QB, MIA - He never looked like a future starter to me, but Sparano said some nice things about him early this off-season. As soon as it looked like he may recoup some value, the new regime comes in and hand-picks Henne as their own man to lead the new Dolphins.

8. Marion Barber III, RB, DAL - I don't want to go overboard here. Barber is still eminently startable, but he's not going to be that workhorse back that many were hoping for. Instead, he's likely to continue seeing the same workload as years past. Grabbing both Jones and Choice may be a red flag about Barber's Dallas future if the two sides can't come to a compromise on a long-term deal.

9. Chris Henry, RB, TEN - That was quick. After reaching for Henry last draft, the Titans grabbed his replacement in this draft. It was thought that Henry might take over the third down role this season, but you're going to have squint pretty hard to see a sliver of dynasty value now.

10. Donald Driver, WR, GB - He just got old quickly. First he loses the only quarterback he's ever had, the one who consistently looked for old reliable Driver all over the field, now the team adds yet another talented young receiver to the fold. He may not be getting pushed out yet, but it's coming soon.

11. Willis McGahee, RB, BAL - Ray Rice is a pretty good football player, and he's going to see the field more than Musa Smith did. McGahee doesn't have to worry about Rice usurping his job anytime soon, but he's never been an ideal third down back while Rice has the skills to work his way in situationally. An in-season McGahee injury could open the door just enough for Rice to start earning a greater share of future playing time.

12. Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB - It doesn't have to be as bad as it may appear. The Packers coaching staff and front office believe Rodgers is ready to take over and flourish with this team, and they've surrounded him with a plethora of weapons to help ensure success. If he hits the ground running and stays healthy, Brohm will be in for a Brady Quinn-like future of clipboard holding. But if Rodgers stumbles out of the gate or gets injured once again, Brohm is good enough to pull a Trent Edwards/J.P. Losman redux.

13. Martin Gramatica, K, NO - Never the most reliable kicker, but he was intriguing as a domer in a high octane offense. The drafting of Mehlhaff leaves Gramatica's future in doubt once again and will likely push him into the traveling tryout circuit with Vanderjagt and Carney.

14. Chris Baker, TE, NYJ - Baker wasn't anybody's idea of a star tight-end, but quite a few owners saw him as an improving player who was gradually working his way more and more into the Jets offense. Keller's presence leaves Baker as something less than a TE2, which means he's a worthless dynasty entity at his age.

15. Troy Smith, QB, BAL - It was conceivable that Smith's leadership and game-managing skills would give him an opportunity for a year to show the Ravens whether he could be the answer or not, but a first round quarterback kills that buzz.

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