Welcome to the "Original" Dynasty Rankings Fantasy Football Blog

This blog was born out of a Dynasty Rankings thread originally begun in October, 2006 at the Footballguys.com message boards. The rankings in that thread and the ensuing wall-to-wall discussion of player values and dynasty league strategy took on a life of its own at over 275 pages and 700,000 page views. The result is what you see in the sidebar under "Updated Positional Rankings": a comprehensive ranking of dynasty league fantasy football players by position on a tiered, weighted scale. In the tradition of the original footballguys.com Dynasty Rankings thread, intelligent debate is welcome and encouraged.

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

TESTING - TIGHT END RANKINGS

*Note: I'm testing to see whether this format looks better with the numbering sequence changed back to normal and the name, age, and value score all on the first line. It looks like it takes up significantly more space, but I think it has a better and easier to read appearance. Feedback is encouraged. If you think it looks much better or much worse, please comment. Thanks.

TIGHT ENDS

TIER ONE

1. #Antonio Gates, SD | Age: 28.3 | Value Score: 98
When healthy, he's been a tier unto himself among tight ends. Chargers offense could have a tough time working out the cobwebs early with so many key components returning from injury.

2. Jason Witten, DAL | Age: 26.4 | Value Score: 95
A great bet to stay heavily involved in the offense, if not quite as impressively as in '07.

3. Kellen Winslow II, CLE | Age: 25.1 | Value Score: 95
Similar to Frank Gore in that many believe he will age quickly due to the seriousness of past leg injuries, but that's mere speculation for now and he's producing like a stud.

TIER TWO

4. Chris Cooley, WAS | Age: 26.2 | Value Score: 84
How will he produce in the West Coast offense with a new head coach? He's a terrific red zone weapon, and a consistent bet for 65-70 receptions and 750 yards.

5. Todd Heap, BAL | Age: 28.5 | Value Score: 80
One of the best buy-lows of the off-season at any position; even with putrid QB play, Heap has been a difference maker when healthy.

6. Tony Gonzalez, KC | Age: 32.5 | Value Score: 78
Hasn't slowed down yet, but turns 33 during the season and has major QB issues.

7. Vernon Davis, SF | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 78
Kept up statistically with guys like Heath Miller & Jeremy Shockey over the second half of '07 and offers much more upside.

8. Dallas Clark, IND | Age: 29.2 | Value Score: 77
Long-term contract offers very good dynasty value in Colts offense; will he be used as heavily as he was last season, or was that a one-year aberration?

9. #Jeremy Shockey, NO | Age: 28.1 | Value Score: 75
There's a definite injury factor here, but it's going to be interesting to see him in a high-powered Saints offense.

10. Tony Scheffler, DEN | Age: 25.5 | Value Score: 74
Young, athletic Heap clone as a receiver benefits from an obvious rapport with Cutler and stands to build on outstanding second half numbers.

TIER THREE

11. Heath Miller, PIT | Age: 25.9 | Value Score: 68
Great red zone option and very good in the open field, but he just doesn't see consistent enough targets to move to the next level.

12. Owen Daniels, HOU | Age: 25.8 | Value Score: 65
A major component of the Texans passing attack, but he needs to be more involved in the red zone game plan.

13. Greg Olsen, CHI | Age: 23.5 | Value Score: 63
Showed promise on that 1st round talent, but he worked much better with Griese and Desmond Clark re-signed to bleed value from Olsen.

14. Zach Miller, OAK | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 60
One of the few bright spots in the Raiders offense, he had rookie teammate JaMarcus Russell's attention when the two of them played together in Weeks 16 & 17.

15. #Ben Watson, NE | Age: 27.7 | Value Score: 56
Running out of time to make good on that tremendous promise. Very good big-play ability, and a nice red zone target, but his poor hands often leave him without the trust of his QB.

TIER FOUR

16. Dustin Keller, NYJ | Age: 23.9 | Value Score: 47

17. Alge Crumpler, ATL | Age: 30.7 | Value Score: 44
Becomes the safety valve for another subpar passer, but he was always able to take that and make it valuable with Vick.

18. Donald Lee, GB | Age: 28.0 | Value Score: 42
2007 is flashing "career year" in bright neon lights, especially with Rodgers taking over for Favre.

19. Marcedes Lewis, JAX | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 39
Not heavily involved in the Jags offense, but expecting steady, continued improvement isn't unreasonable; came on strong down the stretch and in the playoffs.

20. Randy McMichael, STL | Age: 29.2 | Value Score: 35
New OC Al Saunders vows to put the ball in McMichael's hands.

21. L.J. Smith, PHI | Age: 28.4 | Value Score: 35
Could bounce back in '08, but not much security here if he doesn't sign a long-term deal with the Eagles.

22. John Carlson, SEA | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 30

TIER FIVE

23. Ben Utecht, CIN | Age: 27.2 | Value Score: 19
TE2 possibility as easily the best receiving tight end of the Carson Palmer/Marvin Lewis era Bengals. Some are expecting him to be used as Palmer's version of Dallas Clark, but he's not that talented and the Bengals don't use their tight ends as much as the Colts do.

24. Anthony Fasano, MIA | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 18
Finally a shot to start in Miami, but how good is he really? And will the Dolphins offense put up any points this season?

25. Kevin Boss, NYG | Age: 24.7 | Value Score: 16
Impressed as a receiver in the Giants' playoff run, and now he should have the starting gig to himself with Shockey finally dealt.

26. Alex Smith, TB | Age: 26.3 | Value Score: 16
Talented but always left his NFL team and his fantasy owners wanting more; now in a dogfight with Troupe for his job.

27. Ben Troupe, TB | Age: 26.0 | Value Score: 15
Buccaneers hoping he pushes Alex Smith to the sidelines more often; Troupe has had some obvious issues over the past couple of seasons, but the upside is there if he can put it all together.

28. Martellus Bennett, DAL | Age: 21.5 | Value Score: 13

29. Fred Davis, WAS | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 13

30. Leonard Pope, ARI | Age: 25.0 | Value Score: 12

TIER SIX

31. Dave Thomas, NE | Age: 25.2 | Value Score: 8
Nice sleeper stash if Watson's hands continue to leave doubts about his game.

32. Gary Barnidge, CAR | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 8

33. Desmond Clark, CHI | Age: 31.4 | Value Score: 8
Still putting up interesting numbers, but he's already 31-years-old with Olsen hot on his heels for the starting job while siphoning production in the meantime.

34. Ben Patrick, ARI | Age: 24.1 | Value Score: 7

35. Martrez Milner, ATL | Age: 24.1 | Value Score: 6
Crumpler's replacement is the new receiving tight end in Atlanta while Hartsock takes over as the primary blocker.

36. Jeff King, CAR | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 6
You just saw his career year as the Panthers move to an offense requiring a more physical tight end.

37. Jacob Tamme, IND | Age: 23.5 | Value Score: 6

TIER SEVEN

38. Derek Fine, BUF | Age: 25.0 | Value Score: 4

39. Martin Rucker, CLE | Age: 23.3 | Value Score: 4

40. Dante Rosario, CAR | Age: 23.8 | Value Score: 4

41. Jermichael Finley, GB | Age: 21.5 | Value Score: 4

42. Brent Celek, PHI | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 4

43. Delanie Walker, SF | Age: 24.1 | Value Score: 3

44. Brad Cottam, KC | Age: 23.8 | Value Score: 3

45. Visanthe Shiancoe, MIN | Age: 28.3 | Value Score: 2

46. #Chris Baker, NYJ | Age: 28.8 | Value Score: 2

47. Daniel Graham, DEN | Age: 29.8 | Value Score: 2

48. Joe Klopfenstein, STL | Age: 24.8 | Value Score: 2

49. Billy Miller, NO | Age: 31.4 | Value Score: 0

50. Eric Johnson, NO | Age: 29.0 | Value Score: 0

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Ben Watson is a guy who is interesting to me. He seems like he's falling pretty far,even further than you have him ranked, but he's one of only a few guys who could realistically catch 8-9 TD's. He just seems like he has more upside than guys like Z. Miller and Daniels.

Anonymous said...

Also, I'd like to add that I really like your ranking of Todd Heap. From the sounds of it Cam Cameron wants him and expects him to be a Gates-like force in his offense. People seem to forget how good a healthy Heap can be.Some bring up the QB position as a knock, but I don't see it. Heap's best season came when he was catching passes from Kyle Boller and Anthony Wright. I would argue you could even put him ahead of Cooley who I don't think will match his 07' numbers now that the Skins have 3 more targets(all bigger redzone type weapons than what Moss/Randle El are) and sound like they will run more 3-4 WR sets.