Welcome to the "Original" Dynasty Rankings Fantasy Football Blog

This blog was born out of a Dynasty Rankings thread originally begun in October, 2006 at the Footballguys.com message boards. The rankings in that thread and the ensuing wall-to-wall discussion of player values and dynasty league strategy took on a life of its own at over 275 pages and 700,000 page views. The result is what you see in the sidebar under "Updated Positional Rankings": a comprehensive ranking of dynasty league fantasy football players by position on a tiered, weighted scale. In the tradition of the original footballguys.com Dynasty Rankings thread, intelligent debate is welcome and encouraged.

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Running Back Rankings | July 15, 2009

RUNNING BACKS

TIER ONE

1. Adrian Peterson, MIN | Age: 24.5 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 100

2. Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX | Age: 24.4 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 98

3. Chris Johnson, TEN | Age: 23.9 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 96

4. Steven Jackson, STL | Age: 26.1 | Contract: Thru 2013 | Value Score: 96

5. Matt Forte, CHI | Age: 23.7 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 94

TIER TWO

6. Frank Gore, SF | Age: 26.2 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 87

7. Michael Turner, ATL | Age: 27.5 | Contract: Thru 2013 | Value Score: 86

8. DeAngelo Williams, CAR | Age: 26.4 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 84

9. Knowshon Moreno, DEN | Age: 22.2 | Value Score: 82

TIER THREE

10. Brandon Jacobs, NYG | Age: 27.2 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 75

11. Darren McFadden, OAK | Age: 22.0 | Contract: Thru 2013 | Value Score: 74

12. Ronnie Brown, MIA | Age: 27.7 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 73

13. Marion Barber III, DAL | Age: 26.3 | Contract: Thru 2014 | Value Score: 72

14. Beanie Wells, ARI | Age: 21.1 | Value Score: 71

15. Jonathan Stewart, CAR | Age: 22.5 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 71

16. Pierre Thomas, NO | Age: 24.7 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 69

17. Steve Slaton, HOU | Age: 23.7 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 68

18. Clinton Portis, WAS | Age: 28.0 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 67

19. *Marshawn Lynch, BUF | Age: 23.4 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 69

TIER FOUR

20. Kevin Smith, DET | Age: 22.7 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 60

21. Reggie Bush, NO | Age: 24.5 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 59

22. Ray Rice, BAL | Age: 22.7 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 59

23. Brian Westbrook, PHI | Age: 30.0 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 58

24. LaDainian Tomlinson, SD | Age: 30.2 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 58

25. Ryan Grant, GB | Age: 26.7 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 56

26. Rashard Mendenhall, PIT | Age: 22.2 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 55

27. Donald Brown, IND | Age: 22.4 | Value Score: 53

28. Felix Jones, DAL | Age: 22.3 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 52

TIER FIVE

29. LeSean McCoy, PHI | Age: 21.2 | Value Score: 44

30. Derrick Ward, TB | Age: 29.1 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 43

31. Shonn Greene, NYJ | Age: 24.1 | Value Score: 42

32. Joseph Addai, IND | Age: 26.3 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 40

33. Willie Parker, PIT | Age: 28.8 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 37

TIER SIX

34. Cedric Benson, CIN | Age: 26.7 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 30

35. Larry Johnson, KC | Age: 29.8 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 28

36. Jamaal Charles, KC | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 27

37. Laurence Maroney, NE | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 25

38. Thomas Jones, NYJ | Age: 31.0 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 25

39. Darren Sproles, SD | Age: 26.3 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 24

40. Tashard Choice, DAL | Age: 24.8 | Value Score: 23

41. Michael Bush, OAK | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 23

42. Jerious Norwood, ATL | Age: 26.1 | Value Score: 22

43. Leon Washington, NYJ | Age: 27.0 | Value Score: 22

44. Willis McGahee, BAL | Age: 27.9 | Contract: Thru 2013 | Value Score: 20

TIER SEVEN

45. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG | Age: 23.5 | Value Score: 15

46. LenDale White, TEN | Age: 24.7 | Value Score: 15

47. Fred Jackson, BUF | Age: 28.6 | Value Score: 14

48. Julius Jones, SEA | Age: 28.0 | Value Score: 14

49. Le'Ron McClain, BAL | Age: 24.7 | Value Score: 13

50. Jerome Harrison, CLE | Age: 26.5 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 10

51. Andre Brown, NYG | Age: 22.7 | Value Score: 9

52. Jamal Lewis, CLE | Age: 30.0 | Value Score: 9

TIER EIGHT

53. Chester Taylor, MIN | Age: 30.0 | Value Score: 7

54. Rashad Jennings, JAX | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 7

55. Arian Foster, HOU | Age: 23.1 | Value Score: 6

56. Earnest Graham, TB | Age: 29.7 | Value Score: 6

57. Kevin Jones, CHI | Age: 27.0 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 6

58. Fred Taylor, NE | Age: 33.6 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 6

59. Brandon Jackson, GB | Age: 23.9 | Value Score: 5

60. Ladell Betts, WAS | Age: 30.0 | Value Score: 5

61. James Davis, CLE | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 5

62. Gartrell Johnson, SD | Age: 22.3 | Value Score: 5

63. Bernard Scott, CIN | Age: 25.6 | Value Score: 5

64. Sammy Morris, NE | Age: 32.5 | Value Score: 5

65. Justin Fargas, OAK | Age: 29.6 | Value Score: 5

66. Tim Hightower, ARI | Age: 23.3 | Value Score: 5

67. Ricky Williams, MIA | Age: 32.3 | Contract: Thru 2009 | Value Score: 5

TIER NINE

68. T.J. Duckett, SEA | Age: 28.6 | Value Score: 4

69. Chris Brown, HOU | Age: 28.4 | Value Score: 4

70. Glen Coffee, SF | Age: 22.4 | Value Score: 3

71. Cedric Peerman, BAL | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 3

72. Mewelde Moore, PIT | Age: 27.1 | Value Score: 3

73. DeShawn Wynn, GB | Age: 25.9 | Value Score: 3

74. Kregg Lumpkin, GB | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 2

75. Javarris Williams, KC | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 2

76. Maurice Morris, DET | Age: 29.7 | Contract: Thru 2011 | Value Score: 2

77. Kevin Faulk, NE | Age: 33.3 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 2

78. LaMont Jordan, DEN | Age: 30.8 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 2

79. Correll Buckhalter, DEN | Age: 30.9 | Contract: Thru 2012 | Value Score: 2

80. Jamall Lee, CAR | Age: 22.6 | Value Score: 2

81. Dominic Rhodes, BUF | Age: 30.6 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 2

82. Edgerrin James, UFA | Age: 31.1 | Contract: [UFA]| Value Score: 2

TIER NINE

83. Danny Ware, NYG | Age: 24.6 | Value Score: 1

84. Kenneth Darby, STL | Age: 26.7 | Value Score: 1

85. Jalen Parmele, BAL | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 1

86. Javon Ringer, TEN | Age: 22.6 | Value Score: 1

87. Mike Goodson, CAR | Age: 22.5 | Value Score: 1

88. Jeremiah Johnson, HOU | Age: 22.6 | Value Score: 1

89. Ryan Torain, DEN | Age: 23.1 | Value Score: 1

90. Chauncy Washington, JAX | Age: 24.4 | Value Score: 1

91. #Cadillac Williams, TB | Age: 27.4 | Contract: Thru 2010 | Value Score: 1

92. Lorenzo Booker, PHI | Age: 25.3 | Value Score: 1

93. Brian Leonard, CIN | Age: 25.6 | Value Score: 1

94. #Kolby Smith, KC | Age: 24.8 | Value Score: 1

95. Greg Jones, JAX | Age: 28.3 | Value Score: 1

96. Warrick Dunn, TB | Age: 34.7 | Contract: [UFA] | Value Score: 1

97. Xavier Omon, BUF | Age: 24.6 | Value Score: 1

98. Chris Henry, TEN | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 1

99. Antonio Pittman, STL | Age: 23.7 | Value Score: 1

100. Ahman Green, HOU | Age: 32.5 | Contract: [UFA] | Value Score: 1

101. Michael Bennett, SD | Age: 31.0 | Value Score: 1

102. Kenny Watson, CIN | Age: 31.6 | Value Score: 1

103. Michael Robinson, SF | Age: 26.5 | Value Score: 1

104. Deuce McAllister, NO | Age: 30.7 | Contract: [UFA]| Value Score: 1

105. Najeh Daveport, IND | Age: 30.6 | Contract: [UFA]| Value Score: 1

106. Benjarvus Green-Ellis, NE | Age: 24.2 | Value Score: 1

7 comments:

starred4life said...

I'd like to hear your guys thoughts on what you think Marion Barber's workload will be this year.

The prevailing opinion out there seems to be that Felix Jones will eat into Barber's workload to the point that he will no longer finish in the top 15 RBs or so.

I think he'll garner about 60% of the workload in Dallas, equating to about 14-15 att/game. I still think he'll be used heavily on 3rd downs/in the passing game--due in large part to his Superb pass-blocking ability (the guy is a Beast, like having a freakin' guard in the backfield!)--and I think he'll end up with 40 or so receptions.

And I of course have Barber remaining the RB of choice once the 'Boys cross the 20.

To me, this workload will not be much different at all from the workloads he's had the previous two years--years in which he's finished inside the top 15 in my league PPG-wise.

My only major concern with Barber this year is the Dallas offense--I think T.O.'s departure will hurt it's productivity. Since Barber's workload is lesser than many other top 10-12 RBs, his value is slightly more reliant on TDs. Not sure he's going to see the same amount of scoring chances with T.O. gone.

But I'm a Dallas fan--and a big fan of Barber--so my judgment may certainly be clouded when it comes to assessing his value.

Would love to hear your guys' thoughts on Barber. Do you see F. Jones (or anything else) changing his value at all?

starred4life said...

Chris-

I keep hearing you reference a "Dynasty thread at FBG.com" on your site...Sounds like there's always good stuff being bounced around over there.

I've looked and looked, but can't find a 'dynasty thread/forum.' Where can I find that?

Chris Wesseling said...

starred,
Sorry for the delayed response.

RE: MBIII's workload. I think it will be reduced from the past year and a half where he had taken over as the workhorse (before last December's injured toe).

I see both Jones and Choice changing his value, especially in Dynasty leagues. It's pretty clear that Choice can replicate his production, which is never a good sign for a Dynasty RB.

MBIII's physical style is also a concern. Because he's so hard hitting, he's better with fewer carries -- and everything Jerry Jones and Wade Phillips have said this year indicates that they now realize this.

Chris Wesseling said...

There's no Dynasty forum. It's just one threat that's 69 pages long and has a lot of great feedback/discussion. Here's a link to the most recent page: http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=283290&st=3400&start=3400

You could also find links on this blog:

- In the first sentence of the introduction paragraph at the top of the blog, there's a link that says "Dynasty Rankings Thread."

- Over on the side under Fantasy Football Links is a link to the "Original FBG Dynasty Rankings Thread." That's the same thing.

Jeff said...

Isn't Michael Bush a little high on this list? It seems like the other guys in his tier are much more likely to get action this year and many aren't much older than him.

Do you think Bush will end up being paired with McFadden and Fargas ends up as strictly a backup?

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